I think this game sets up well for the under for a few reasons: the injuries to both offensive lines, Green Bay’s incoming regression in the red zone and both Love and Goff’s inefficiency when facing pressure. I’m in line with the spread of Lions -1.5 as of Wednesday night, but we could see some significant movement on that front when we get more clarity on the likes of Jones, Watson, CB Jaire Alexander and Decker.

Odds are they end up closer to the league average of 56% moving forward. Green Bay’s 27 yards per drive ranks 11th worst in the NFL, but the team has averaged the 10th-most points per drive.Ī huge part of that success is that the Packers are second in red-zone touchdown percentage at 78%. The Packers offense, as a whole, is due for some regression. Love ranked seventh in Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt with a clean pocket, but he’s 28th out of 34 qualified QBs when facing pressure. That’d leave it up to either Yosh Nijman or Caleb Jones to be tasked with blocking Lions pass-rusher Aidan Hutchinson.ĭetroit ranks 10th in pressure rate, but with the significant issues on the Packers offensive line, it’s safe to assume that Jordan Love may face a higher pressure rate than usual in this game. If Tom is ruled out or limited, it will be another massive blow to this unit. RT Zach Tom is also questionable with a knee injury. Green Bay did already rule out the left side of its offensive line and top two linemen: LT David Bakhtiari and LG Elgton Jenkins. Jones has missed the last two games, while Watson is yet to play this season. The Packers are hoping to get RB Aaron Jones and WR Christian Watson back for this game, but their statuses are still up in the air on a short week.

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